SportsLine's model simulated the CJ Cup Byron Nelson 2026 10,000 times and revealed its surprising picks for TPC Craig Ranch
By Daniel Lewis May 18, 2026 at 12:27 pm ET • 3 min read 
Imagn Images Two majors are now in the books, and up next on the PGA Tour schedule is the 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas. Play begins on Thursday, May 21. Some of the PGA's top players have opted to skip this tournament, but Dallas-area natives Scottie Scheffler and Jordan Spieth are both in the 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson field. They're also two of the top three favorites in the 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson odds, with Scheffler, the defending champion, favored at +150 (risk $100 to win $150) and Spieth third at +1500, with Si Woo Kim at +1300.
Brooks Koepka is next on the PGA odds board at +2200, with no other golfer lower than +3300, leaving plenty of longshots on the board to consider. Before locking in any 2026 Cj Cup Byron Nelson picks, or any PGA DFS picks or One and Done selections, be sure to see the 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
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Now that the 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or PGA DFS lineups.
2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson 2026: It is fading Spieth at +1500, saying he finishes outside the top 5 despite playing a course he's very familiar with. Spieth's game has shown some promising signs this year as he's finished inside the top 20 in both majors. However, he's still looking for his first top-10 in any event since the 2025 Memorial Tournament and his first win since 2022, so the model isn't confident backing him with the third-lowest odds this week. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model is high on Pierceson Coody as a +4000 longshot. The 27-year-old Texan has seven top-25 finishes on the PGA Tour this season, including a pair of top-10s as he's putting together his best professional season. He's extremely strong off the tee, ranking 26th in strokes gained in that category. He's also 14th on tour in average driving distance. His ability to shrink the course is a big factor in why the model projects him as a top-5 contender this week. See who else to pick here.
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How to make 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson picks
The model is also targeting several other longshots, including one going off around 70-1 who makes a stunning run for the title. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson odds, favorites
Get full 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson picks, best bets and predictions here. (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +165 Si Woo Kim +1300 Jordan Spieth +1500 Brooks Koepka +2200 Keith Mitchell +3300 Pierceson Coody +3500 Michael Thorbjornsen +4000 Rasmus Højgaard +4500 Wyndham Clark +4500 Ryo Hisatsune +4500 Davis Thompson +4500 Thorbjørn Olesen +5500 Michael Brennan +6000 Taylor Pendrith +6000 Sungjae Im +6000 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6500 Stephan Jaeger +6500 Haotong Li +6500 Mac Meissner +6500 Max Greyserman +7000 Blades Brown +7000 Richard Hoey +7000 Zecheng Dou +8000 Matti Schmid +8000 Tom Kim +8000 Jordan Smith +8000 Kevin Roy +8000 Eric Cole +8000 Doug Ghim +8000 Johnny Keefer +10000 John Parry +10000 William Mouw +10000 Kris Ventura +10000 Patrick Rodgers +10000 Chris Kirk +10000 Kevin Yu +10000 Mackenzie Hughes +10000 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +10000 Seamus Power +10000 Austin Eckroat +10000 Beau Hossler +10000 Adrien Dumont de Chassart +10000 Max McGreevy +10000
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