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2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that's nailed 17 majors

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CitrixNews Staff
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2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that's nailed 17 majors

The 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs begin on Thursday with the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn. The top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings will be in the field this week, with the top 50 from this no-cut event advancing to the BMW Championship. The purse is $20 million and points are quadrupled compared to standard PGA events, so the standings can shift dramatically based on the outcome. 

Scottie Scheffler, who is atop the points leaderboard, is also the favorite this week at +500 (risk $100 to win $500) in the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Other top PGA contenders this week include Rory McIlroy (+1300) and Xander Schauffele (+1800). Before locking in any 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, be sure to see the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites

Now that the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

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2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for: Schauffele, who has the third-lowest odds this week at +2000, doesn't even crack the top 10. Schauffele finished second at the Rocket Classic a couple weeks back, but that was his first top-10 finish since May. He's also winless during the 2026 PGA Tour schedule. He finished T2 at this event in 2024, though he hasn't finished inside the top 20 in any of his three other appearances, so the model doesn't like him at these lower odds this week. See who else to fade here

Another surprise: The model is high on Sam Burns at +2200, saying he's a top-3 contender. Burns has been right on the doorstep at some of the biggest events of the year, finishing T7 or better at the Masters, the Memorial, the U.S. Open and the Open Championship. He ranks 12th on tour in the strokes gained: total and third in strokes gained: putting, both metrics that make him a top contender at TPC Southwind this week. See who else to pick here

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How to make 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks

The model is also targeting a massive longshot of higher than +3000 to make a strong run up the leaderboard. You can only see the model's picks here

Who will win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.

2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, field

Get full 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, best bets and predictions here. (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +500 Rory McIlroy +1300 Xander Schauffele +2000 Hideki Matsuyama +2200 Tommy Fleetwood +2200 Cameron Young +2200 Sam Burns +2200 Collin Morikawa +2500 Ludvig Åberg +2500 Matt Fitzpatrick +2500 Justin Thomas +2700 Si Woo Kim +3000 Russell Henley +3300 Chris Gotterup +3300 Patrick Cantlay +3300 Viktor Hovland +3500 Wyndham Clark +4000 Tom Kim +4000 Jackson Koivun +4000 Robert MacIntyre +4500 Michael Brennan +4500 Ryan Gerard +5500 Min Woo Lee +5500 J.J. Spaun +5500 Maverick McNealy +5500 Michael Thorbjornsen +5500 Rickie Fowler +5500 Ben Griffin +5500 Kurt Kitayama +6000 Justin Rose +6000 Aaron Rai +6000 Sungjae Im +6000 Akshay Bhatia +6000 Alex Fitzpatrick +6500 Bud Cauley +8000 Corey Conners +8000 Shane Lowry +8000 Alex Smalley +8000 Alex Noren +8000 Harris English +8000 Jacob Bridgeman +8000 Keith Mitchell +8000 Jake Knapp +8000 Kristoffer Reitan +8000 Ryan Fox +10000 Jordan Spieth +10000 Eric Cole +10000 Nicolai Højgaard +10000 J.T. Poston +10000 Jordan Smith +10000 Adam Scott +10000 Gary Woodland +10000 Ryo Hisatsune +12500 Brian Harman +12500 Michael Kim +12500 Sahith Theegala +12500 Harry Hall +12500 Nico Echavarria +12500 Matt McCarty +17500 Ricky Castillo +17500 Max Homa +17500 Nick Taylor +17500 Sepp Straka +17500 Sudarshan Yellamaraju +22500 Samuel Stevens +22500 Matti Schmid +25000 Pierceson Coody +25000 Aldrich Potgieter +35000 Patrick Rodgers +50000

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Originally reported by CBS Sports. Read the full story at the original source.