The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Michigan International Speedway for the 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday. The NASCAR at Michigan 2026 green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET, with Denny Hamlin riding high. Not only did he win in Nashville last week, but Hamlin also collected a NASCAR Michigan victory last year. However, there is one person ahead of him in the Cup Series standings in Tyler Reddick, and the 23XI Racing driver enters 2026 NASCAR at Michigan as a winner at this track as well.
Thus, it's unsurprising that those two names top the FireKeepers Casino 400 2026 odds board and are highly coveted with NASCAR DFS picks. Hamlin is the +380 favorite, with both Reddick and Christopher Bell just behind him at +600. Kyle Larson, a three-time winner at Michigan International Speedway, is at +800. Before locking in any NASCAR Michigan predictions or NASCAR DFS lineups, you need to see the projected leaderboard from Mike McClure's proven model.
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McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action 10,000 times. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and hit 11 winners in 2025. Anyone following his NASCAR betting picks at their favorite sportsbooks could have seen huge returns.
Now, McClure has turned his attention to the NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400. He's only sharing his best bets at SportsLine.
2026 NASCAR at Michigan predictions
For NASCAR at Michigan 2026, McClure is fading Hamlin (+380), saying he barely cracks the top 5 despite his status as the favorite. Hamlin has a strong track record at Michigan, including the win in this race last year. That win, however, was his first at Michigan since 2011, so the model doesn't like the value of paying this premium in a field where there are several high-quality longshots.
Another surprise: The model is high on Ryan Blaney at +1100. Blaney has a win and nine top-10 finishes on the season. He won at Michigan in 2021, and has seven top-10 performances at this track since 2018. He has the seventh-best driver rating at Michigan among active drivers, so the model is high on his value as a double-digit longshot this week. See which other drivers the model is backing at SportsLine.
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How to make 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks
McClure is also high on a longshot of around +3500 who makes a run for the top of the leaderboard, potentially netting any backer a huge payday. You can only see who it is here.
So who wins the 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400, and which massive longshot could stun NASCAR at Michigan? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that nailed 11 winners last year, and find out.
2026 NASCAR at Michigan odds, lineup
See full NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 picks at SportsLine
(Odds from FanDuel, subject to change) Denny Hamlin +380 Tyler Reddick +600 Christopher Bell +600 Kyle Larson +800 Ryan Blaney +1100 Chase Briscoe +1200 Ty Gibbs +1200 Chris Buescher +1400 Chase Elliott +1400 William Byron +1800 Bubba Wallace +2000 Carson Hocevar +2000 Brad Keselowski +3500 Joey Logano +3500 Ross Chastain +4000 Alex Bowman +6000 Daniel Suarez +7500 Shane van Gisbergen +8000 Ryan Preece +8000 Zane Smith +8000 Erik Jones +8000 Austin Cindric +12500 Austin Hill +25000 Josh Berry +25000 Connor Zilisch +25000 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +30000 AJ Allmendinger +30000 Michael McDowell +40000 Austin Dillon +40000 John Hunter Nemechek +50000 Ty Dillon +50000 Cole Custer +50000 Riley Herbst +50000 Cody Ware +50000 JJ Yeley +50000 Noah Gragson +50000 Todd Gilliland +50000
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