The Texas Longhorns entered the 2025 college football season as the nation's top-ranked team in the preseason polls. They finished outside the College Football Playoff field. Arch Manning and the Longhorns aim to clear that CFP hurdles in 2026, as fourth-ranked Texas hosts the Texas State Bobcats to begin a new season. It's also an exciting time for the Bobcats, who will be part of a revamped Pac-12 Conference and coached by former Longhorns quarterback G.J. Kinne. Visit our DraftKings promo code review and get $200 in bonus bets as a new user after $5+ in wagers here:
Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET from Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. The Longhorns are 29.5-point favorites in the latest Texas State vs. Texas odds, while the over/under is 59.5. Before making any Texas vs. Texas State picks, check out the Texas vs. Texas State predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. It is on a 32-19 run on top-rated CFB money-line picks since the 2024 season, and it has been upgraded for the 2026 season to even better factor in the transfer portal to help nail college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites.
Now, the model has set its sights on Texas State vs. Texas. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for Texas vs. Texas State:
Texas vs. Texas State spread
Texas -29.5
Texas vs. Texas State over/under
59.5 points
Texas vs. Texas State money line
Texas -7692, Texas State +2367
Texas vs. Texas State picks
Texas vs. Texas State streaming
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Top Texas vs. Texas State predictions
Anyone looking for Texas prediction markets should know that after 10,000 simulations of Texas State vs. Texas, the SportsLine model is going Under (59.5 points) on the total.
Texas State ranked 12th in the nation in scoring last year and returns starting QB Brad Jackson, who threw 21 TDs as as a freshman. The Bobcats were the only FBC team to have two 1,000-yard receivers, and both of them are back, too. But the Texas' defense is supposed to be top-tier, with new defensive coordinator Will Muschamp taking over. The squad allowed only 20 ppg last year and has playmakers at each level. The advanced model calls for 52 combined points to be scored, well under the posted total. See the model's spread and money-line picks at SportsLine.
How to make Texas State vs. Texas picks
SportsLine's model has simulated Texas State vs. Texas 10,000 times and says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Texas State vs. Texas, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas State vs. Texas spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that's on a 32-19 run on top-rated CFB money-line picks, and find out.
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